Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
Closes June 30, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing VIX +1.5% ↑, S&P +0.5% ↑, DXY -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$5
Liquidity
$8K
Bid / Ask
28% / 33%
Spread
5.00pp
Expert Signal
30%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?" at 30% YES / 70% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 30%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 30%, NO 70%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/825856
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.7%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this