Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Closes May 19, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -1.3pp below current market price; market at 58% may be overpriced with macro signals showing VIX -2.7% ↓, S&P +0.2% ↑, DXY +0.1% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$84
Liquidity
$20K
Bid / Ask
57% / 60%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
57%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?" at 59% YES / 41% NO. In the last 24 hours, $84 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 57%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 19, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 59%, NO 41%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/837734
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.9%
EV per $ wagered
-1.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this