ForecastMind
Markets/Will Mike Thurmond win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Share on X

Will Mike Thurmond win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

Closes May 19, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
99%NO

Volume 24h

$20

Liquidity

$9K

Bid / Ask

1% / 1%

Spread

0.40pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Mike Thurmond win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $20 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on May 19, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will Mike Thurmond win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/837773

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this