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Markets/Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?
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Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?

Closes June 9, 2026

Polymarket Price

62%YES
38%NO

Volume 24h

$126

Liquidity

$8K

Bid / Ask

59% / 65%

Spread

6.00pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 62%99%
Buy YES@ 62¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 38¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?" at 62% YES / 38% NO. In the last 24 hours, $126 has been traded. The bid-ask spread is 6.00 percentage points. The market closes on June 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 62%, NO 38%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/904693