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Markets/Will Kristin Robbins win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
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Will Kristin Robbins win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

Closes August 11, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
99%NO

Volume 24h

$7K

Liquidity

$7K

Bid / Ask

1% / 2%

Spread

0.90pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+73.9pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Kristin Robbins win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.90 percentage points. The market closes on August 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will Kristin Robbins win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/907991

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

-13.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢
Edge

+0.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly13.0%
½ Kelly6.5%
Buy NO—+0.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 13.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this