Will Welsh Conservatives win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Wikipedia Attention
This event has 4 active outcome markets. Plaid Cymru: 81%, Reform UK: 18%, Welsh Conservatives: 0%.
Welsh Conservatives win the most seats in the 2026 Wels
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Welsh Conservatives win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30pp. The market closes on May 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will Welsh Conservatives win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/922348