Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
41%YES
59%NO
Vol 24h$363
Liquidity$17K
Bid / Ask37% / 43%
Spread6.00pp
ClosesJun 23, 2026
FM Estimate
41%Market Price
41%Aligned
Macro fundamentals+2.3pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
low confidence · 2 signals
Wikipedia Attention
Price History · 30 days
Export CSVPrice History
No historical data yet
Cross-Venue Intelligence2 venues
VenueYES %vs Poly
Polymarket41%anchor
PredictIt——
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?" at 41% YES / 59% NO. In the last 24 hours, $363 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 40%. The bid-ask spread is 6.00pp. The market closes on June 23, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-21). "Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 41%, NO 59%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/973441