Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Closes December 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$23K
Liquidity
$355K
Bid / Ask
9% / 10%
Spread
0.30pp
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-4.3%
EV per $ wagered
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?" at 9% YES / 91% NO. In the last 24 hours, $23K has been traded. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 9%, NO 91%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/997488
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