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Markets/Alcaraz vs. Korda: Match O/U 21.5
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Alcaraz vs. Korda: Match O/U 21.5

Closes March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$214K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Alcaraz vs. Korda: Match O/U 21.5

Full event →

4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

100% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Current

100% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Alcaraz vs. Korda: Match O/U 21.5" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Alcaraz vs. Korda: Match O/U 21.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1669037