Markets/Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5

Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5

Data as of Mar 23, 2026, 08:56 PM UTC

Closes March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

39%YES

61%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$2K

Bid / Ask

20% / 57%

Spread

37.00pp

Expert Signal

39%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-8.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

28% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Trough probability

17% YES — lowest in period

Mar 23, 2026

Biggest move: -10.5pp

28% → 17%

Mar 23, 2026

Current

20% YES (+2.5pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 39%99%

Buy YES@ 39¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 61¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5" at 39% YES / 61% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 39%. The bid-ask spread is 37.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 39%, NO 61%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688979

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