Markets/Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Data as of Mar 24, 2026, 05:34 PM UTC

Closes December 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

19%YES

81%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$2K

Bid / Ask

16% / 22%

Spread

6.00pp

Expert Signal

19%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

24% YES

Mar 24, 2026

Current

22% YES (+2.5pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 19%99%

Buy YES@ 19¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 81¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Anthropic acquired before 2027?" at 19% YES / 81% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 19%. The bid-ask spread is 6.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Anthropic acquired before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 19%, NO 81%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/676846

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