Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5
Closes April 5, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$67K
Liquidity
$97K
Bid / Ask
48% / 49%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
49%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5" at 49% YES / 51% NO. In the last 24 hours, $67K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 49%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-05). "Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 49%, NO 51%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1822268
This event has 2 active outcome markets. Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: 50%, Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U: 49%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~2%.
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Apr 4, 2026
Current
49% YES (-1.0pp recent)
Apr 4, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-1.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this