ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
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Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5

Closed March 27, 2026

Polymarket Price

51%YES
50%NO

Volume 24h

$169K

Liquidity

$11K

Bid / Ask

51% / 53%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

51%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

53% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Current

51% YES (-1.5pp recent)

Mar 27, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 51%99%
Buy YES@ 51¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 50¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $169K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1720492