Markets/Austin Reaves: Points O/U 23.5

Austin Reaves: Points O/U 23.5

Data as of Mar 25, 2026, 09:01 PM UTC

Closes March 25, 2026

Polymarket Price

33%YES

67%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$747

Bid / Ask

11% / 56%

Spread

45.00pp

Expert Signal

33%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-41.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

74% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Trough probability

33% YES — lowest in period

Mar 25, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

33%

Mar 25, 2026

Biggest move: -41.0pp

74% → 33%

Mar 25, 2026

Current

33% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 25, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 33%99%

Buy YES@ 33¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 67¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Austin Reaves: Points O/U 23.5" at 33% YES / 67% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 33%. The bid-ask spread is 45.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Austin Reaves: Points O/U 23.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 33%, NO 67%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1710443

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