ForecastMind
⊘

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Austin Reaves: Points O/U 28.5
Share on X

Austin Reaves: Points O/U 28.5

Closed April 5, 2026

Polymarket Price

46%YES
55%NO

Volume 24h

$9K

Liquidity

$34

Bid / Ask

0% / 86%

Spread

85.50pp

Expert Signal

46%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Austin Reaves: Points O/U 28.5" at 46% YES / 54% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 46%. The bid-ask spread is 85.50 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Austin Reaves: Points O/U 28.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 46%, NO 54%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1855849

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Austin Reaves: Points O/U 28.5: 46%, Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5: 36%, Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 7.5: 15%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~4%.

Austin Reaves: Points O/U 28.5

46%
Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5
36%
Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 7.5
15%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+0.3pp

Key Moments

First recorded

1% YES

Apr 5, 2026

Current

1% YES (+0.2pp recent)

Apr 6, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 46%99%
Buy YES@ 46¢
Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 54¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this