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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5
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Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Closed April 5, 2026

Polymarket Price

31%YES
69%NO

Volume 24h

$6K

Liquidity

$1K

Bid / Ask

0% / 56%

Spread

56.10pp

Expert Signal

31%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5" at 31% YES / 69% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 31%. The bid-ask spread is 56.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 31%, NO 69%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1855854

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Austin Reaves: Points O/U 28.5: 49%, Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5: 31%, Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 7.5: 15%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~5%.

Austin Reaves: Points O/U 28.5
49%

Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5

31%
Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 7.5
15%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+27.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

0% YES

Apr 5, 2026

Biggest move: +27.3pp

0% → 28%

Apr 6, 2026

Current

28% YES (+27.3pp recent)

Apr 6, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 31%99%
Buy YES@ 31¢

-1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 69¢
Edge

+0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.1%
½ Kelly0.6%
Buy NO—+0.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this