ForecastMind
Markets/Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5
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Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5

Closes April 4, 2026

Polymarket Price

36%YES
65%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$7K

Bid / Ask

33% / 38%

Spread

5.00pp

Expert Signal

36%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5" at 36% YES / 64% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 36%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 36%, NO 64%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1851814

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 2.5: 41%, Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5: 36%, Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5: 20%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~4%.

Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 2.5
41%

Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5

36%
Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5
20%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-1.5pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 36%99%
Buy YES@ 36¢
Edge

+1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 65¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this