Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4AM ET
Closed April 13, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +1.8pp above current market price; market at 50% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.6% ↑, ETH +0.2% ↑, S&P +0.3% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$154K
Liquidity
$0
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4AM ET" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $154K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4AM ET." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1944996
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this