Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12PM ET
Closed April 6, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +2.1pp above current market price; market at 50% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +1.3% ↑, ETH +1.9% ↑, S&P +0.6% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$168K
Liquidity
$0
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12PM ET" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $168K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12PM ET." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1862451
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
0% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this