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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6PM ET
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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6PM ET

Closed April 9, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
51%FIS
+1ppvs market 50%
underpriced

ForecastMind sees this +1.3pp above current market price; market at 50% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.3% ↑, ETH -0.1% ↓, S&P +0.8% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC +0.3% ↑, ETH -0.1% ↓, S&P +0.8% ↑
+1.3pp
Live compute02:58 AM

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$184K

Liquidity

$0

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6PM ET" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $184K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6PM ET." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1912519

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

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Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this