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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12PM ET

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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12PM ET

Data as of Mar 30, 2026, 09:52 PM UTC

Closed March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES

100%NO

Volume 24h

$728K

Liquidity

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 1%99%

Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12PM ET" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $728K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12PM ET." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1762253

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.