ForecastMind
Markets/Blackhawks vs. Oilers
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Blackhawks vs. Oilers

Closes April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

35%YES
66%NO

Volume 24h

$652K

Liquidity

$616K

Bid / Ask

34% / 35%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

35%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Blackhawks vs. Oilers" at 35% YES / 65% NO. In the last 24 hours, $652K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 35%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Blackhawks vs. Oilers." Prediction market snapshot: YES 35%, NO 65%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1515676

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Blackhawks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5: 81%, Blackhawks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5: 63%, Blackhawks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5: 51%.

Blackhawks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5
81%
Blackhawks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5
63%
Blackhawks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
51%

Blackhawks vs. Oilers

35%
Blackhawks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5
31%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

35% YES

Apr 2, 2026

Current

35% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 2, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 35%99%
Buy YES@ 35¢
Edge

+1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 66¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this