ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Blackhawks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5
Share on X

Blackhawks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5

Closed April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$6K

Liquidity

$0

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Blackhawks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Blackhawks vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1515677

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-48.9pp

Key Moments

First recorded

49% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Trough probability

0% YES — lowest in period

Apr 3, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

53%

Mar 31, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

81%

Apr 1, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

46%

Apr 3, 2026

Biggest move: -82.5pp

83% → 0%

Apr 3, 2026

Peak probability

85% YES — highest in period

Apr 2, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this