ForecastMind
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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Blues vs. Avalanche
Share on X

Blues vs. Avalanche

Closed April 6, 2026

Polymarket Price

40%YES
61%NO

Volume 24h

$1.4M

Liquidity

$26K

Bid / Ask

39% / 40%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

40%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Blues vs. Avalanche" at 40% YES / 60% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.4M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 40%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Blues vs. Avalanche." Prediction market snapshot: YES 40%, NO 60%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1537987

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5: 100%, Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5: 91%, Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5: 78%.

Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5
100%
Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5
91%
Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
78%
Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5
51%

Blues vs. Avalanche

40%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

37% YES

Apr 5, 2026

Current

38% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 6, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 40%99%
Buy YES@ 40¢
Edge

+1.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 61¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this