ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
Share on X

Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5

Closed April 6, 2026

Polymarket Price

78%YES
23%NO

Volume 24h

$7K

Liquidity

$10K

Bid / Ask

75% / 78%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

78%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5" at 78% YES / 22% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 78%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 78%, NO 22%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1537990

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5: 100%, Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5: 91%, Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5: 78%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-8.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

43% YES

Apr 5, 2026

Biggest move: -8.5pp

44% → 35%

Apr 6, 2026

Current

35% YES (-8.5pp recent)

Apr 6, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 78%99%
Buy YES@ 78¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly2.2%
½ Kelly1.1%
Buy NO@ 22¢

-2.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 2.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this