ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
Share on X

Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5

Closed April 4, 2026

Polymarket Price

98%YES
3%NO

Volume 24h

$941K

Liquidity

$9K

Bid / Ask

90% / 98%

Spread

8.00pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5" at 98% YES / 2% NO. In the last 24 hours, $941K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 8.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 98%, NO 2%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1524912

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5: 100%, Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5: 98%, Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5: 96%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

46% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Current

46% YES (-1.0pp recent)

Apr 4, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 98%99%
Buy YES@ 98¢
Edge

+0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly20.0%
½ Kelly10.0%
Buy NO@ 3¢

-20.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 20.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this