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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Bub Carrington: Rebounds O/U 3.5
Share on X

Bub Carrington: Rebounds O/U 3.5

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

50%YES
50%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$4

Bid / Ask

2% / 98%

Spread

96.00pp

Expert Signal

50%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Bub Carrington: Rebounds O/U 3.5" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The bid-ask spread is 96.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Bub Carrington: Rebounds O/U 3.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1787553

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. Bub Carrington: Assists O/U 4.5: 52%, Bub Carrington: Rebounds O/U 3.5: 50%.

Bub Carrington: Assists O/U 4.5
52%

Bub Carrington: Rebounds O/U 3.5

50%

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+27.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

23% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

52%

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: +28.5pp

23% → 52%

Mar 31, 2026

Peak probability

52% YES — highest in period

Mar 31, 2026

Current

51% YES (-1.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 50%99%
Buy YES@ 50¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 50¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this