ForecastMind
Markets/Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmic
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Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmic

Closes April 9, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$1.6M

Liquidity

$0

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmic" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.6M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmic." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1811336

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+64.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

36% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Trough probability

17% YES — lowest in period

Apr 3, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

53%

Apr 3, 2026

Biggest move: +47.0pp

53% → 100%

Apr 3, 2026

Peak probability

100% YES — highest in period

Apr 3, 2026

Current

100% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this