ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5
Share on X

Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5

Closed April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

8%YES
93%NO

Volume 24h

$319K

Liquidity

$8K

Bid / Ask

10% / 18%

Spread

8.00pp

Expert Signal

8%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5" at 8% YES / 92% NO. In the last 24 hours, $319K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 8%. The bid-ask spread is 8.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 8%, NO 92%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1818911

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5: 17%, Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5: 14%, Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5: 8%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~53%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-34.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

51% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

16%

Apr 2, 2026

Biggest move: -35.5pp

52% → 16%

Apr 2, 2026

Current

16% YES (-35.5pp recent)

Apr 2, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 8%99%
Buy YES@ 8¢
Edge

+6.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 93¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+6.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this