ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 243.5
Share on X

Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 243.5

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

34%YES
66%NO

Volume 24h

$20K

Liquidity

$32K

Bid / Ask

30% / 39%

Spread

9.00pp

Expert Signal

34%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Price History

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Price History

-24.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

56% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

32%

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: -25.0pp

56% → 32%

Mar 31, 2026

Current

32% YES (-25.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 34%99%
Buy YES@ 34¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 66¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 243.5" at 34% YES / 66% NO. In the last 24 hours, $20K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 34%. The bid-ask spread is 9.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 243.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 34%, NO 66%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1785162

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.