ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 244.5
Share on X

Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 244.5

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

32%YES
69%NO

Volume 24h

$118K

Liquidity

$9K

Bid / Ask

35% / 44%

Spread

9.00pp

Expert Signal

32%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Price History

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Price History

-20.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

32%

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: -23.0pp

55% → 32%

Mar 31, 2026

Current

32% YES (-23.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 32%99%
Buy YES@ 32¢
Edge

+1.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 69¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 244.5" at 32% YES / 68% NO. In the last 24 hours, $118K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 32%. The bid-ask spread is 9.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 244.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 32%, NO 68%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1790694

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.