Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5
Closed April 7, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing S&P +2.9% ↑, VIX +6.7% ↑, 10Y yield +2bps ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$101K
Liquidity
$0
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $101K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1903421
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
51% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Apr 7, 2026
Biggest move: -21.5pp
50% → 28%
Apr 8, 2026
Current
0% YES (-0.5pp recent)
Apr 8, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this