ForecastMind
Markets/California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5
Share on X

California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5

Closes March 21, 2026

Polymarket Price

54%YES
47%NO

Volume 24h

$256K

Liquidity

$34K

Bid / Ask

53% / 54%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

54%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence0%
methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks

Full event →

4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+3.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

51% YES

Mar 20, 2026

Current

55% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Mar 21, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 54%99%
Buy YES@ 54¢
Edge

+0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.1%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 47¢

-1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5" at 54% YES / 46% NO. In the last 24 hours, $256K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 54%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 21, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 54%, NO 46%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1634742