ForecastMind
Markets/Capitals vs. Blue Jackets
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Capitals vs. Blue Jackets

Closes April 14, 2026

Polymarket Price

42%YES
59%NO

Volume 24h

$910K

Liquidity

$374K

Bid / Ask

41% / 42%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

42%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Capitals vs. Blue Jackets" at 42% YES / 58% NO. In the last 24 hours, $910K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 42%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Capitals vs. Blue Jackets." Prediction market snapshot: YES 42%, NO 58%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1640216

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5: 63%, Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5: 52%, Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: 42%.

Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
63%
Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
52%

Capitals vs. Blue Jackets

42%
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
35%
Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5
28%

Topic Intelligence

Cross-Venue Intelligence2 venues
VenueYES %vs Poly
Polymarket—anchor
kalshi_sports——

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

42% YES

Apr 14, 2026

Current

42% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 14, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 42%99%
Buy YES@ 42¢
Edge

+1.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 59¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this