ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5
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Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5

Closed April 14, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$50K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 14, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-15). "Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1640224

Outcome Markets6 markets

This event has 6 active outcome markets. Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: 100%, Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5: 0%, Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5: 0%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-54.9pp

Key Moments

First recorded

55% YES

Apr 14, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

49%

Apr 15, 2026

Biggest move: -48.4pp

49% → 0%

Apr 15, 2026

Peak probability

66% YES — highest in period

Apr 15, 2026

Current

0% YES (-48.4pp recent)

Apr 15, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this