Capitals vs. Devils
Closes April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1000K
Liquidity
$579K
Bid / Ask
49% / 50%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
50%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Capitals vs. Devils" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1000K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Capitals vs. Devils." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1515656
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 4.5: 78%, Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 5.5: 59%, Capitals vs. Devils: 50%.
Capitals vs. Devils
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
49% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Current
50% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-1.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this