Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Cavaliers vs. Jazz
Closed March 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$568K
Liquidity
$106K
Bid / Ask
94% / 95%
Spread
0.70pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Cavaliers vs. Jazz" at 98% YES / 2% NO. In the last 24 hours, $568K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.70 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Cavaliers vs. Jazz." Prediction market snapshot: YES 98%, NO 2%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1704249
This event has 7 active outcome markets. Cavaliers vs. Jazz: 1H Moneyline: 100%, Cavaliers vs. Jazz: 98%, Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5: 36%.
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Mar 24, 2026
Biggest move: +18.0pp
50% → 68%
Mar 24, 2026
Peak probability
93% YES — highest in period
Mar 30, 2026
Current
91% YES (-0.2pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
-14.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this