ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5
Share on X

Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

31%YES
70%NO

Volume 24h

$429K

Liquidity

$7K

Bid / Ask

28% / 44%

Spread

16.00pp

Expert Signal

31%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5" at 31% YES / 69% NO. In the last 24 hours, $429K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 31%. The bid-ask spread is 16.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 31%, NO 69%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1790695

Outcome Markets7 markets

This event has 7 active outcome markets. Cavaliers vs. Jazz: 1H Moneyline: 100%, Cavaliers vs. Jazz: 98%, Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5: 36%.

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-9.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Biggest move: -9.0pp

50% → 41%

Mar 31, 2026

Current

41% YES (-9.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 31%99%
Buy YES@ 31¢
Edge

+1.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 70¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this