Cavaliers vs. Lakers
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$469K
Liquidity
$197K
Bid / Ask
45% / 46%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
46%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Cavaliers vs. Lakers" at 46% YES / 54% NO. In the last 24 hours, $469K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 46%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Cavaliers vs. Lakers." Prediction market snapshot: YES 46%, NO 54%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1716627
This event has 6 active outcome markets. Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5: 53%, Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5: 50%, Cavaliers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 114.5: 47%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
45% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Current
46% YES (+2.0pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this