Celtics vs. 76ers

Market Price

74%YES

26%NO

Vol 24h$2.2M

Liquidity$1.2M

Bid / Ask75% / 76%

Spread1.00pp

ClosedApr 24, 2026

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The market's precipitous 15pp decline over seven trading sessions reflects mounting uncertainty around the diplomatic timeline. Cross-venue signals show institutional venues pricing 6pp below Polymarket.

The FM model flags a structural overpricing: with less than 10 days to expiry and no confirmed diplomatic channel active, the Bayesian update pushes the model estimate well below current market price. Three correlated outcome markets collectively imply only a 23% chance any deadline resolves YES.

Watch for: official bilateral statements, foreign ministry press briefings, and whether the longer-dated outcome markets begin to converge as a leading indicator of changed expectations.

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets13 markets

13 deadline markets. Combined YES = 592% — 492pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline

100%

Celtics vs. 76ers

74%

Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 205.5

71%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

+50.0pp

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Celtics vs. 76ers" at 74% YES / 26% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2.2M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 85%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on April 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-26). "Celtics vs. 76ers." Prediction market snapshot: YES 74%, NO 26%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2012795