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Markets/Celtics vs. Hawks: 1H Moneyline
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Celtics vs. Hawks: 1H Moneyline

Closes March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

46%YES
54%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$54K

Bid / Ask

44% / 48%

Spread

4.00pp

Expert Signal

46%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

Celtics vs. Hawks

Full event →
Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 221.5
56%
Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5
55%
Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 223.5
52%
Celtics vs. Hawks: 1H Moneyline
46%
Celtics vs. Hawks
44%

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-2.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

49% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Current

46% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 46%99%
Buy YES@ 46¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 54¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Celtics vs. Hawks: 1H Moneyline" at 46% YES / 54% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 46%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Celtics vs. Hawks: 1H Moneyline." Prediction market snapshot: YES 46%, NO 54%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786740

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.