ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 223.5
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Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 223.5

Closed March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

56%YES
44%NO

Volume 24h

$7K

Liquidity

$7K

Bid / Ask

39% / 43%

Spread

4.00pp

Expert Signal

56%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Price History

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Price History

-4.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

48%

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: -6.5pp

54% → 48%

Mar 31, 2026

Current

48% YES (-6.5pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 56%99%
Buy YES@ 56¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 44¢
Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 223.5" at 56% YES / 44% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 56%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 223.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 56%, NO 44%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1794618

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.