ForecastMind
Markets/Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5
Share on X

Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5

Closes April 9, 2026

Polymarket Price

41%YES
60%NO

Volume 24h

$94K

Liquidity

$13K

Bid / Ask

39% / 41%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

41%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5" at 41% YES / 59% NO. In the last 24 hours, $94K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 41%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 41%, NO 59%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1924071

Outcome Markets6 markets

This event has 6 active outcome markets. Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5: 51%, Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5: 45%, Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5: 42%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-5.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

46% YES

Apr 9, 2026

Trough probability

40% YES — lowest in period

Apr 9, 2026

Biggest move: -5.5pp

46% → 40%

Apr 9, 2026

Current

40% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 41%99%
Buy YES@ 41¢
Edge

+1.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 60¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this