ForecastMind
Markets/Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
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Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Closes April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

65%YES
36%NO

Volume 24h

$595K

Liquidity

$33K

Bid / Ask

74% / 75%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

65%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgers" at 65% YES / 35% NO. In the last 24 hours, $595K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 65%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgers." Prediction market snapshot: YES 65%, NO 35%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1711628

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. NRFI: Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dod: 100%, Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 65%, Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: : 50%.

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+7.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

39% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: +7.0pp

39% → 46%

Mar 31, 2026

Current

46% YES (+7.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 65%99%
Buy YES@ 65¢
Edge

+0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.4%
½ Kelly0.7%
Buy NO@ 36¢

-1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this