ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Clippers vs. Trail Blazers
Share on X

Clippers vs. Trail Blazers

Closed April 11, 2026

Polymarket Price

48%YES
53%NO

Volume 24h

$523K

Liquidity

$555K

Bid / Ask

48% / 49%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

49%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Clippers vs. Trail Blazers" at 48% YES / 52% NO. In the last 24 hours, $523K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 49%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Clippers vs. Trail Blazers." Prediction market snapshot: YES 48%, NO 52%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1861193

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5: 58%, Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5: 55%, Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5: 54%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-72.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

73% YES

Apr 5, 2026

Trough probability

0% YES — lowest in period

Apr 11, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

48%

Apr 9, 2026

Biggest move: -46.5pp

47% → 0%

Apr 11, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 11, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 48%99%
Buy YES@ 48¢
Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 53¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this