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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5
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Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5

Closed April 4, 2026

Polymarket Price

49%YES
52%NO

Volume 24h

$561K

Liquidity

$15K

Bid / Ask

32% / 35%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

49%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5" at 49% YES / 51% NO. In the last 24 hours, $561K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 49%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-05). "Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 49%, NO 51%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1821396

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Ill: 79%, Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Ill: 52%, Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Ill: 51%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

49% YES

Apr 2, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

51%

Apr 2, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Apr 4, 2026

Current

49% YES (+1.5pp recent)

Apr 4, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 49%99%
Buy YES@ 49¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 52¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this