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Markets/Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines
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Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines

Closes April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

27%YES
74%NO

Volume 24h

$2.0M

Liquidity

$4.4M

Bid / Ask

26% / 27%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

27%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines" at 27% YES / 73% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2.0M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 27%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines." Prediction market snapshot: YES 27%, NO 73%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1871367

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: : 55%, Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: : 52%, Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: 27%.

Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
55%
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 145.5
52%

Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines

27%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

27% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Current

27% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 6, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 27%99%
Buy YES@ 27¢
Edge

+1.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 74¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this