Markets/Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy (BO5) - FERJEE In House Playoffs

Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy (BO5) - FERJEE In House Playoffs

Data as of Mar 31, 2026, 12:14 AM UTC

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

43%YES

57%NO

Volume 24h

$522K

Liquidity

$22K

Bid / Ask

46% / 47%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

33%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

Price History

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Price History

+12.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

23% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Biggest move: +12.0pp

22% → 34%

Mar 30, 2026

Current

36% YES (+1.5pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 43%99%

Buy YES@ 43¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 57¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy (BO5) - FERJEE In House Playoffs" at 43% YES / 57% NO. In the last 24 hours, $522K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 33%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy (BO5) - FERJEE In House Playoffs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 43%, NO 57%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786258

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.