ForecastMind
Markets/Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs
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Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs

Closes April 11, 2026

Polymarket Price

45%YES
56%NO

Volume 24h

$972K

Liquidity

$593K

Bid / Ask

44% / 45%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

45%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs" at 45% YES / 55% NO. In the last 24 hours, $972K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 45%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 45%, NO 55%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1939793

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

46% YES

Apr 11, 2026

Current

45% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Apr 11, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 45%99%
Buy YES@ 45¢
Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 55¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this