Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner
Closes April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$176K
Liquidity
$337K
Bid / Ask
4% / 5%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $176K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1939794
This event has 2 active outcome markets. Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5): 35%, Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map: 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~65%.
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
47% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Apr 11, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
52%
Apr 11, 2026
Biggest move: -52.0pp
52% → 0%
Apr 11, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this